Introduction
Key Takeaways
- global biodiesel market will experience rapid expansion to reach USD 101.6 billion from USD 38.8 billion recorded as of 2023, 10.1% CAGR.
- In 2023, vegetable oil dominated the market, constituting over 72% of the share. Palm oil, especially from Indonesia and Thailand, is expected to be a major feedstock, with these countries contributing over 80% to its production.
- Fuel applications commanded a significant share in 2023, capturing more than 60% of the market.
- Europe, historically the largest market, represented 48% of the global market share in 2023.
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Statistics
- The International Energy Agency (IEA) expects biofuel demand to grow from 146 billion liters/year in 2020 to between 186 and 342 billion liters/year in 2026.
- The OECD-FAO forecast more modest biofuel consumption growth than the IEA (134 billion liters of biofuel in 2026)
- India has proposed a target of 20% blending of ethanol in petrol, and 5% blending of biodiesel in diesel by 2030.
- In 2021, Australia produced 180 million liters of fuel ethanol and 18 million liters of biodiesel.
- The OECD-FAO estimates that between 2019 and 2021, 21% of world sugar cane production, 15% of world maize production, and 12% of oilseed production was used to make biofuels.
- The majority of Australia’s $5.76b in canola seed exports in 2021-22 will be used to make biofuel in the EU.
- Biofuel production has increased from 1.2 million barrels per day in 2011 to 1.8 million barrels per day in 2021 (an increase of 46%).
- In 2021, the USA, Brazil, Europe, and Indonesia were the largest consumers of biofuel, accounting for 84% of global biofuel
- consumption.
- Today, almost 50% of biodiesel in the EU market is produced from rapeseed oil. With nearly 40% of vegetable oils delivered to biodiesel producers, the biofuels market is a major outlet for the vegetable oils industry.
- These can replace petrodiesel completely, but more commonly the two components are blended at levels up to 10% or beyond of biodiesel for use in combustion engines.
- According to the European Biodiesel Board in 2011 EU production (8.61 million tonnes), largely from rapeseed oil, was mainly in Germany and France. In 2012 production capacity was 23.5 million tonnes.
- It is reported that much of the foreseen 18% expansion in oilseeds between 2010/11 and 2019/20 will be concentrated in Brazil, the EU, and Argentina.
- The minister also said that India needs 1,000 crore liters for 20% blending in petrol. “We are going to get it. We are already at 600 crore liters,” he stated.
- We are just 3% of the global market. The market for ethanol is $92 billion. It will go up to $162 billion in two years. But you are potentially looking at $500 billion.
- Finnish renewable diesel producer Neste has posted a 6% rise in full-year operating profit to €983 million, compared to €925 million in 2015, helped by strong demand for its renewable products.
- Speaking about its renewable products division, president and CEO, Matti Lievonen, said: “Our sales volumes reached 2.22 million tons, only 2% below the previous year, despite the scheduled major turnaround implemented at the Rotterdam refinery in the second quarter.
- All key financial indicators showed improvement, and the return on average capital employed after tax reached 16.9%, which was over the long-term target level of 15%.”
- the company’s oil products division posted a comparable operating profit of €453 million (€439 million).
- Independent analysis by Cranfield University has shown that Firefly’s SAF offers a highly significant 92% CO2e saving versus fossil jet fuel.
- GPS Renewables said it has more than 100 biogas plants, including Asia’s largest RNG plant based on MSW (Municipal Solid Waste) in Indore. The company currently has an order book of $240 million and MoUs worth $540 million for the execution of multiple plants of compressed biogas in India.
- GPS Renewables reported $60 million in turnover for FY24, growing 225 percent over FY23.
- Today, biofuels makeup around 4% of the total usage of fuel globally, with blends of biofuel and fossil diesel or petrol widely available at scale at fuel stations in multiple countries
- demand to be around 160,000 million liters, with the road sector representing up to 98% of the total demand, followed by the maritime sector – alongside the aviation one- which is in the process of significant expansion.
- In 2021, the biofuel market exceeded $110 billion, with an expected doubling in size by 2030.2 Biodiesel can be used directly as an environmental fuel for diesel engines, but currently, it is added to petroleum-derived diesel.
- Located in central Iowa and commissioned in August 2002, the Ralston plant has a biodiesel production capacity of 30 million gal/year.
- Demand for biofuels is set to grow 28% from 2021 to 2026, according to the International Energy Agency. SAF consumption in Europe alone is expected to grow to at least 800 million liters per year by 2026.
- Ten biofuels have the potential to reduce GHG emissions by 60% compared to petroleum gasoline. The list includes alcohols, furan mixtures, and olefins.
- In terms of environmental impact, GHG emissions were reduced by more than 60% in 12 of the 25 pathways, according to the GREET life cycle analysis.
- Fossil fuel resources are therefore the single largest energy source, representing 88% of total world energy consumption.
- Biofuel demand dropped 8% in 2020 year on year to 150bn liters, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA), with Brazilian and US ethanol production experiencing the most significant contraction.
- Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) research indicates that biodiesel emits 11% less carbon monoxide and 10% less particulate matter than diesel.
- According to Car Talk, a study done by the Department of Energy and Agriculture found biodiesel reduces net carbon dioxide emissions by 78%.
- Diesel engines offer consumers 20-40% better fuel economy as well as more torque at a lower rpm than gasoline.
- For manufacturers, the largest production cost is raw material, in this case usually CPO, which accounts for 70% of total production cost. Chemical inputs run to another 20%, and the remaining 10% is operating costs.
- biodiesel mixed into standard diesel, which had risen from 2% to 5% in 2012 and then to 7% in 2014. This lifted demand from 1.72 million liters per day in 2011 to 4.1 million liters in 2017.
- The UK government has announced that 2,351 million liters of liquid biofuels were used in transport last year, which was an increase of 24% from the year before.
- In 2018, 1,899 million liters were consumed. The Renewable Transport Fuel Obligation (RTCO) put up the percentage of biofuel production for transport fuel production from 7.25% in 2018 to 8.5% last year.
- According to the latest statistics from the Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy, bioethanol consumption dropped slightly by 1%, from 761 million liters in 2018 to 753 million liters in 2019.
- Biodiesel consumption rose by 40% from 1,138 million liters two years ago to 1,598 million liters last year.
- Potentially, Ukraine can replace about 5% of traditional diesel. Instead, the share of RES in the transport sector in 2020 was 2.5%.
Emerging Trends
Use Cases
Key Players Analysis
Conclusion
- https://www.fediol.eu/web/biofuels/1011306087/list1187970135/f1.html
- https://lipidlibrary.aocs.org/resource-material/market-trends/biodiesel
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- https://biofuels-news.com/news/neste-posts-rise-in-operating-profit/
- https://biofuels-news.com/news/firefly-green-fuels-and-synagro-to-unlock-saf-production-from-biosolids-in-north-america/
- https://www.financialexpress.com/business/sme/biofuel-company-gps-renewables-raises-50-million-debt-from-pnb-hdfc-icici-bank-sidbi-others/3458267/
- https://www.maersk.com/insights/sustainability/2023/05/02/biofuels-that-power-ships-and-aircrafts
- https://www.rcptm.com/breakthrough-technology-developed-by-czech-scientists-will-exploit-waste-from-biodiesel-production-and-improve-fuel-properties/
- https://www.ogj.com/energy-transition/article/14310038/chevron-to-shutter-two-us-biodiesel-plants
- https://www.upstreamonline.com/energy-transition/totalenergies-and-repsol-boost-biofuels-as-demand-grows-in-europe/2-1-1179587
- https://www.anl.gov/article/biofuel-on-the-road-to-energy-cost-savings
- https://academic.oup.com/ce/article/3/1/2/5250541
- https://www.argusmedia.com/en/news-and-insights/latest-market-news/2521145-viewpoint-imports-weigh-on-eu-biodiesel
- https://www.icis.com/explore/resources/news/2021/05/12/10638917/insight-policy-delays-slow-biofuels-market-growth/
- https://www.caranddriver.com/research/a31883731/biodiesel-vs-diesel/
- https://www.krungsri.com/en/research/industry/industry-outlook/energy-utilities/biodiesel/io/io-biodiesel-20
- https://biofuels-news.com/news/new-uk-statistics-reveal-biofuels-boost/
- https://farmdocdaily.illinois.edu/2017/09/relationship-between-biodiesel-soybean-oil-prices.html
- https://brdo.com.ua/en/analytics/ukrayina-mozhe-zaminyty-30-dyzelyu-vlasnym-vyroblenym-biopalyvom/
